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Bundesliga · Matchday 20Saturday 6 February · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Hoffenheim12th place
VFB 52%X 24%TSG 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 71 rating points.
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.5
Over 2.571%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X24%4.09224%4.23
Double chance
1X76%1.31X248%2.081276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.46BTTS yes69%1.44BTTS no31%3.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Hoffenheim2-1 probability 9.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Hoffenheim – Stuttgart12 September 20262-1
Hoffenheim – Stuttgart2 May 20263-3
Stuttgart – Hoffenheim20 December 20250-0
Hoffenheim – Stuttgart23 February 20251-1
Stuttgart – Hoffenheim6 October 20241-1
Hoffenheim – Stuttgart16 March 20240-3