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Bundesliga · Matchday 20Saturday 6 February · 14:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Mainz9th place
SGE 46%X 26%M05 28%

Prediction

  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Mainz score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.4
Over 2.565%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X26%3.87228%3.58
Double chance
1X72%1.39X254%1.861274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.82BTTS yes65%1.53BTTS no35%2.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Mainz1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Mainz – Eintracht Frankfurt12 September 20261-3
Mainz – Eintracht Frankfurt22 March 20262-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Mainz9 November 20251-0
Mainz – Eintracht Frankfurt4 May 20251-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Mainz21 December 20241-3
Eintracht Frankfurt – Mainz26 January 20241-0