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Bundesliga · Matchday 30Saturday 17 April · 14:30 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-1High confidence
Hoffenheim12th place
FCB 80%X 13%TSG 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 259 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Hoffenheim 0.4.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 22% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.7 – 1.2
Over 2.587%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.25X13%7.5026%15.43
Double chance
1X94%1.07X220%5.051287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.587%1.15Under 2.513%7.62BTTS yes70%1.44BTTS no30%3.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: Hoffenheim3-1 probability 7.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim8 February 20265-1
Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich20 September 20251-4
Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich17 May 20250-4
Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim15 January 20255-0
Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich18 May 20244-2
Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim12 January 20243-0