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Bundesliga · Matchday 30Saturday 17 April · 14:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
M'gladbach18th place
SGE 57%X 24%BMG 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 72 rating points.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.565%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X24%4.24220%5.12
Double chance
1X80%1.24X243%2.321276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.86BTTS yes63%1.60BTTS no37%2.68

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: M'gladbach1-1 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – M'gladbach14 February 20263-0
M'gladbach – Eintracht Frankfurt27 September 20254-6
M'gladbach – Eintracht Frankfurt8 February 20251-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – M'gladbach21 September 20242-0
M'gladbach – Eintracht Frankfurt11 May 20241-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – M'gladbach20 December 20232-1