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Bundesliga · Matchday 30Saturday 17 April · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Paderborn14th place
SVE 48%X 27%SCP 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Elversberg take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elversberg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X27%3.71225%3.92
Double chance
1X75%1.34X252%1.911273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.98Under 2.549%2.02BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Paderborn1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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