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Bundesliga · Matchday 6Saturday 17 October · 17:30 · Allianz Arena
Bayern Munich1st place
Full time6-1Rinvalo's pick: 3-1✓ Result correct
RB Leipzig4th place
FCB 74%X 17%RBL 9%

What does the market say?

Bayern MunichDrawRB LeipzigRinvalo74%17%9%
Market77%13%10%

✓ Agree · both back Bayern Munich

Prediction

Predicted: 3-1
Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 197 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bayern Munich 2.6 points per game, RB Leipzig 1.2.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 28% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.0 – 1.1
Over 2.578%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X17%6.0329%10.81
Double chance
1X91%1.10X226%3.871283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.578%1.28Under 2.522%4.53BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bayern Munich · Columns: RB Leipzig6-1 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig17 October 20266-1
RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich17 January 20261-5
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig22 August 20256-0
RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich3 May 20253-3
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig20 December 20245-1
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig24 February 20242-1