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Bundesliga · Matchday 6Friday 16 October · 19:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Köln13th place
SGE 52%X 25%KOE 23%

What does the market say?

Eintracht FrankfurtDrawKölnRinvalo52%25%23%
Market51%23%27%

✓ Agree · both back Eintracht Frankfurt

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 85 rating points.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.4
Over 2.568%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X25%4.02223%4.30
Double chance
1X77%1.30X248%2.081275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.14BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Köln1-0 probability 5.7% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – Köln16 October 20261-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – Köln5 April 20262-2
Köln – Eintracht Frankfurt22 November 20253-4
Köln – Eintracht Frankfurt3 February 20242-0
Eintracht Frankfurt – Köln3 September 20231-1
Köln – Eintracht Frankfurt12 February 20233-0