TR
Picks
Bundesliga · Matchday 6Saturday 17 October · 14:30 · wohninvest WESERSTADION
Werder Bremen5th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Paderborn14th place
SVW 52%X 27%SCP 21%

What does the market say?

Werder BremenDrawPaderbornRinvalo52%27%21%
Market53%23%24%

✓ Agree · both back Werder Bremen

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.542%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X27%3.66221%4.77
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.071273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.542%2.37Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Paderborn2-2 probability 4.0% · final score

Head to head

Werder Bremen – Paderborn17 October 20262-2