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Bundesliga · Matchday 6Saturday 17 October · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Full time4-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Augsburg10th place
SVE 39%X 27%FCA 34%

What does the market say?

ElversbergDrawAugsburgRinvalo39%27%34%
Market38%25%37%

✓ Agree · both back Elversberg

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.562%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Elversberg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X27%3.75234%2.91
Double chance
1X66%1.52X261%1.641273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no35%2.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Augsburg4-3 probability 0.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Elversberg – Augsburg17 October 20264-3