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La Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Celta Vigo10th place
BET 53%X 26%CEL 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 90 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.549%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X26%3.82221%4.76
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.121274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Real Betis25 October 20260-0
Real Betis – Celta Vigo15 March 20261-1
Celta Vigo – Real Betis27 August 20251-1
Celta Vigo – Real Betis8 February 20253-2
Real Betis – Celta Vigo10 November 20242-2
Real Betis – Celta Vigo12 April 20242-1