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La Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estadio La Rosaleda
Málaga20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Osasuna15th place
MAL 29%X 28%OSA 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Osasuna 0.1, Málaga -0.8.
  • If Málaga score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Osasuna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.41X28%3.56243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X271%1.411272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Málaga · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
MálagaLDLDL
OsasunaLDLWL