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La Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Villarreal9th place
DEP 29%X 28%VIL 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Villarreal lead by 95 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Deportivo 0.2.
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.43X28%3.62243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.76X271%1.411272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Villarreal – Deportivo5 September 20262-3