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La Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alavés11th place
ELC 41%X 28%ALA 31%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Elche 1.6 points per game, Alavés 0.4.
  • If Elche score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.44X28%3.51231%3.27
Double chance
1X69%1.44X259%1.691272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.06Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Elche – Alavés9 May 20261-1
Alavés – Elche5 October 20253-1
Elche – Alavés5 February 20223-1
Alavés – Elche26 October 20211-0