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La Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Valencia19th place
RSO 51%X 27%VAL 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Valencia 1.0.
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X27%3.76223%4.41
Double chance
1X77%1.29X249%2.031273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Real Sociedad20 September 20262-3
Real Sociedad – Valencia17 May 20263-4
Valencia – Real Sociedad16 August 20251-1
Valencia – Real Sociedad19 January 20251-0
Real Sociedad – Valencia28 September 20243-0
Real Sociedad – Valencia16 May 20241-0