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La Liga · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Elche17th place
BET 59%X 24%ELC 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 109 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.70X24%4.24217%5.72
Double chance
1X83%1.21X241%2.431276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Real Betis – Elche12 May 20262-1
Elche – Real Betis18 August 20251-1
Elche – Real Betis24 February 20232-3
Real Betis – Elche15 August 20223-0
Real Betis – Elche19 April 20220-1
Elche – Real Betis21 November 20210-3