TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal8th place
Rinvalo prediction3-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
VIL 76%X 15%RAC 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Villarreal lead by 148 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 27% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.2 – 1.1
Over 2.580%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.32X15%6.4629%11.44
Double chance
1X91%1.10X224%4.131285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.580%1.25Under 2.520%5.05BTTS yes66%1.53BTTS no35%2.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Racing Santander3-1 probability 8.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Racing Santander – Villarreal16 August 20262-2