TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Athletic Bilbao7th place
SEV 36%X 29%ATH 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.77X29%3.45235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.54X264%1.571271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Athletic Bilbao1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla22 August 20261-3
Sevilla – Athletic Bilbao24 January 20262-1
Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla17 August 20253-2
Sevilla – Athletic Bilbao16 March 20250-1
Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla29 September 20241-1
Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla19 May 20242-0