TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
LEV 40%X 27%RSO 33%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.561%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X27%3.73233%3.01
Double chance
1X67%1.50X260%1.671273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.59BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 11.3%

Head to head

Real Sociedad – Levante25 October 20262-1
Real Sociedad – Levante4 April 20262-0
Levante – Real Sociedad20 December 20251-1
Levante – Real Sociedad6 May 20222-1
Real Sociedad – Levante28 August 20211-0