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Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sheffield United10th place
BIR 52%X 26%SHU 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Birmingham City 0.3, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X26%3.82221%4.69
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.101274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

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Head to head

Sheffield United – Birmingham City15 August 20260-0
Birmingham City – Sheffield United14 March 20261-1
Sheffield United – Birmingham City20 December 20253-0
Birmingham City – Sheffield United8 May 20231-2
Sheffield United – Birmingham City1 October 20221-1
Birmingham City – Sheffield United4 February 20221-2