TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Portsmouth11th place
QPR 47%X 28%POR 25%

Prediction

  • If QPR score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X28%3.60225%3.98
Double chance
1X75%1.34X253%1.891272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 13.0%
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

Portsmouth – QPR15 August 20261-3
QPR – Portsmouth21 March 20266-1
Portsmouth – QPR26 December 20251-1
Portsmouth – QPR22 February 20252-1
QPR – Portsmouth19 October 20241-2