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Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Middlesbrough1st place
LIN 18%X 23%MID 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 201 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Lincoln City -0.1.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.60X23%4.44260%1.68
Double chance
1X40%2.48X282%1.221277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: Middlesbrough1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

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Head to head

Middlesbrough – Lincoln City15 August 20262-1