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Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bristol City14th place
MIL 53%X 26%BRC 21%

Prediction

  • If Millwall score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X26%3.81221%4.72
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.111274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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Head to head

Bristol City – Millwall15 August 20260-2
Millwall – Bristol City29 December 20252-1
Bristol City – Millwall6 December 20250-1
Millwall – Bristol City4 March 20250-2
Bristol City – Millwall17 August 20244-3
Bristol City – Millwall1 January 20240-1