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Championship · Matchday 36Saturday 6 March · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
PNE 44%X 27%BOL 29%

Prediction

  • If Preston North End score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Preston North End win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X27%3.74229%3.46
Double chance
1X71%1.41X256%1.801273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Bolton Wanderers – Preston North End15 August 20262-1