TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 34Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
BIR 46%X 28%WBA 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Derby match.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.542%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X28%3.54226%3.87
Double chance
1X74%1.35X254%1.851272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City10 October 20260-1
Birmingham City – West Bromwich Albion10 February 20260-0
West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City26 November 20251-1
West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City3 February 20241-0
Birmingham City – West Bromwich Albion6 October 20233-1
Birmingham City – West Bromwich Albion10 February 20232-0