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Championship · Matchday 34Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Swansea City3rd place
NOR 42%X 28%SWA 30%

Prediction

  • If Norwich City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.36X28%3.61230%3.34
Double chance
1X70%1.43X258%1.741272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Norwich City10 October 20262-1
Norwich City – Swansea City25 April 20261-1
Swansea City – Norwich City25 October 20252-1
Norwich City – Swansea City25 January 20255-1
Swansea City – Norwich City14 September 20241-0
Norwich City – Swansea City27 April 20242-2