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Championship · Matchday 34Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
CAR 48%X 27%BLB 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cardiff City 0.2, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cardiff City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X27%3.76226%3.88
Double chance
1X74%1.35X252%1.911273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City10 October 20262-1
Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City15 March 20251-2
Cardiff City – Blackburn Rovers9 November 20241-3
Cardiff City – Blackburn Rovers20 February 20240-0
Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City21 October 20231-0
Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City1 January 20231-0