TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 34Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Middlesbrough1st place
WOL 31%X 28%MID 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 127 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Wolverhampton 0.7.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.22X28%3.60241%2.43
Double chance
1X59%1.70X269%1.451272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Middlesbrough1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Middlesbrough – Wolverhampton10 October 20261-0