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Championship · Matchday 34Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
BRC 55%X 26%CHA 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bristol City lead by 86 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bristol City 0.6, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.542%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X26%3.79219%5.24
Double chance
1X81%1.24X245%2.201274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.542%2.38Under 2.558%1.72BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Bristol City10 October 20261-1
Charlton Athletic – Bristol City3 April 20261-2
Bristol City – Charlton Athletic16 August 20250-0