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Championship · Matchday 34Saturday 27 February · 15:00 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
MIL 65%X 22%PNE 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Millwall lead by 186 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Millwall 1.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Millwall 0.5, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Millwall score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.551%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X22%4.58213%7.83
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.891278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.551%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: Preston North End2-0 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Millwall10 October 20260-1
Preston North End – Millwall28 February 20260-2
Millwall – Preston North End8 November 20251-1
Preston North End – Millwall18 February 20251-1
Millwall – Preston North End28 September 20243-1
Millwall – Preston North End27 January 20241-1