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Championship · Matchday 22Saturday 19 December · 12:30 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
West Ham8th place
BIR 45%X 26%WHU 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Birmingham City 2.4 points per game, West Ham 1.4.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.21X26%3.84229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X255%1.831274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.63BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

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