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Championship · Matchday 22Saturday 19 December · 12:30 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
SWA 63%X 23%PNE 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 211 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 1.8 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Swansea City 0.3, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.549%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X23%4.32214%7.12
Double chance
1X86%1.16X237%2.691277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Preston North End1-0 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Preston North End24 February 20261-1
Preston North End – Swansea City5 November 20252-1
Preston North End – Swansea City4 March 20250-0
Swansea City – Preston North End17 August 20243-0
Swansea City – Preston North End22 December 20232-1
Preston North End – Swansea City26 August 20232-1