TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 32Tuesday 16 February · 19:45 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Bristol City14th place
BLB 35%X 29%BRC 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Blackburn Rovers 1.8 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.83X29%3.40235%2.84
Double chance
1X65%1.54X265%1.551271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.542%2.39Under 2.558%1.72BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 14.1%

Head to head

Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers13 October 20260-1
Blackburn Rovers – Bristol City24 February 20261-2
Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers4 November 20250-1
Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers25 January 20252-1
Blackburn Rovers – Bristol City14 September 20243-0
Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers10 April 20245-0