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Championship · Matchday 32Tuesday 16 February · 19:45 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Burnley22nd place
CHA 30%X 29%BUR 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Burnley lead by 144 rating points.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.543%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.30X29%3.49241%2.44
Double chance
1X59%1.70X270%1.431271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes50%2.02BTTS no50%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Burnley1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Burnley – Charlton Athletic13 October 20262-2