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Championship · Matchday 32Tuesday 16 February · 19:45 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Birmingham City6th place
PNE 22%X 26%BIR 52%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Birmingham City lead by 204 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Birmingham City 2.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Birmingham City 0.3, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.57X26%3.85252%1.92
Double chance
1X48%2.09X278%1.281274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Birmingham City1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Birmingham City – Preston North End13 October 20264-0
Birmingham City – Preston North End22 April 20262-1
Preston North End – Birmingham City21 October 20250-1
Birmingham City – Preston North End1 April 20241-0
Preston North End – Birmingham City19 September 20232-1
Birmingham City – Preston North End21 January 20231-2