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Championship · Matchday 32Wednesday 17 February · 19:45 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
BOL 24%X 25%WOL 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • Wolverhampton lead by 75 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 0.8.
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.9
Over 2.560%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.12X25%4.04251%1.96
Double chance
1X49%2.04X276%1.321275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.53BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Bolton Wanderers13 October 20261-3