WHU 65%X 20%LIN 14%
Prediction
Key factors
- West Ham lead by 104 rating points.
- xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Lincoln City -0.1.
- If West Ham score first, they win 83% of the time
- If Lincoln City score first, they win 37% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.3
Over 2.575%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X20%4.92214%6.95
Double chance
1X86%1.17X235%2.881280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.575%1.33Under 2.525%4.00BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.06
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Lincoln City2-1 probability 8.8%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Lincoln City – West Ham14 October 20260-6
West Ham8th place
Lincoln City16th place