TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 32Tuesday 16 February · 19:45 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
WHU 65%X 20%LIN 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 104 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Lincoln City -0.1.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.3
Over 2.575%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X20%4.92214%6.95
Double chance
1X86%1.17X235%2.881280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.575%1.33Under 2.525%4.00BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Lincoln City2-1 probability 8.8%

Head to head

Lincoln City – West Ham14 October 20260-6