TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 15:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Cardiff City17th place
BLB 43%X 29%CAR 28%

What does the market say?

Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff CityRinvalo43%29%28%
Market36%26%38%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Blackburn Rovers 43%, market Cardiff City 38%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Blackburn Rovers lead by 62 rating points.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.31X29%3.51228%3.54
Double chance
1X72%1.39X257%1.761271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Cardiff City2-1 probability 8.8% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City10 October 20262-1
Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City15 March 20251-2
Cardiff City – Blackburn Rovers9 November 20241-3
Cardiff City – Blackburn Rovers20 February 20240-0
Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City21 October 20231-0
Blackburn Rovers – Cardiff City1 January 20231-0