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Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 12:30 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Bristol City14th place
CHA 32%X 30%BRC 38%

What does the market say?

Charlton AthleticDrawBristol CityRinvalo32%30%38%
Market30%29%41%

✓ Agree · both back Bristol City

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Bristol City 1.8 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.6.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.09X30%3.36238%2.64
Double chance
1X62%1.61X268%1.481270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.53Under 2.560%1.65BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 14.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Bristol City10 October 20261-1
Charlton Athletic – Bristol City3 April 20261-2
Bristol City – Charlton Athletic16 August 20250-0