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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 15:00 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Stoke City7th place
BOL 37%X 29%STK 34%

What does the market say?

Bolton WanderersDrawStoke CityRinvalo37%29%34%
Market35%28%37%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Bolton Wanderers 37%, market Stoke City 37%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bolton Wanderers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.71X29%3.46234%2.93
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.591271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: Stoke City1-2 probability 8.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Bolton Wanderers – Stoke City10 October 20261-2