TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Exact score
Millwall12th place
PNE 26%X 27%MIL 46%

What does the market say?

Preston North EndDrawMillwallRinvalo26%27%46%
Market33%27%39%

✓ Agree · both back Millwall

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Millwall lead by 154 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Millwall 0.7, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.81X27%3.64246%2.16
Double chance
1X54%1.86X274%1.361273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Millwall0-1 probability 10.7% · final score

Head to head

Preston North End – Millwall10 October 20260-1
Preston North End – Millwall28 February 20260-2
Millwall – Preston North End8 November 20251-1
Preston North End – Millwall18 February 20251-1
Millwall – Preston North End28 September 20243-1
Millwall – Preston North End27 January 20241-1