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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 15:00 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1st place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Wolverhampton4th place
MID 50%X 26%WOL 24%

What does the market say?

MiddlesbroughDrawWolverhamptonRinvalo50%26%24%
Market42%26%32%

✓ Agree · both back Middlesbrough

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 98 rating points.
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.562%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.00X26%3.83224%4.19
Double chance
1X76%1.31X250%2.001274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: Wolverhampton1-0 probability 7.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Middlesbrough – Wolverhampton10 October 20261-0