TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 12:30 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Full time2-1Exact score
Norwich City15th place
SWA 42%X 28%NOR 30%

What does the market say?

Swansea CityDrawNorwich CityRinvalo42%28%30%
Market40%27%34%

✓ Agree · both back Swansea City

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 2.0 points per game, Norwich City 1.2.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.39X28%3.58230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X258%1.721272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Norwich City2-1 probability 9.0% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Norwich City10 October 20262-1
Norwich City – Swansea City25 April 20261-1
Swansea City – Norwich City25 October 20252-1
Norwich City – Swansea City25 January 20255-1
Swansea City – Norwich City14 September 20241-0
Norwich City – Swansea City27 April 20242-2