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Championship · Matchday 9Saturday 10 October · 12:30 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Birmingham City6th place
WBA 38%X 30%BIR 32%

What does the market say?

West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham CityRinvalo38%30%32%
Market40%28%32%

✓ Agree · both back West Bromwich Albion

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Derby match.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.539%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.63X30%3.33232%3.13
Double chance
1X68%1.47X262%1.611270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.539%2.55Under 2.561%1.64BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Birmingham City0-1 probability 10.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City10 October 20260-1
Birmingham City – West Bromwich Albion10 February 20260-0
West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City26 November 20251-1
West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City3 February 20241-0
Birmingham City – West Bromwich Albion6 October 20233-1
Birmingham City – West Bromwich Albion10 February 20232-0