TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 20Tuesday 8 December · 19:45 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
BLB 31%X 28%NOR 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Norwich City -0.1, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.18X28%3.52240%2.49
Double chance
1X60%1.67X269%1.461272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 13.3%

Head to head

Norwich City – Blackburn Rovers7 February 20262-0
Blackburn Rovers – Norwich City30 August 20250-2
Blackburn Rovers – Norwich City1 March 20251-1
Norwich City – Blackburn Rovers17 August 20242-2
Blackburn Rovers – Norwich City24 February 20241-1
Norwich City – Blackburn Rovers5 November 20231-3