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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 20Tuesday 8 December · 19:45 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
SWA 64%X 22%BOL 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 145 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Swansea City 0.3, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 1.8 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 0.8.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.558%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.63214%7.03
Double chance
1X86%1.17X236%2.791278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Bolton Wanderers2-0 probability 10.9%

Form

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