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Championship · Matchday 20Tuesday 8 December · 19:45 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
WRE 53%X 27%CHA 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wrexham lead by 94 rating points.
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X27%3.70220%4.96
Double chance
1X80%1.25X247%2.121273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Wrexham28 February 20260-1
Wrexham – Charlton Athletic8 November 20251-0