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Championship · Matchday 20Tuesday 8 December · 19:45 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sheffield United10th place
MIL 52%X 26%SHU 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Millwall 0.5, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • If Millwall score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X26%3.81222%4.55
Double chance
1X78%1.28X248%2.071274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Millwall – Sheffield United31 January 20261-1
Sheffield United – Millwall23 August 20250-1
Sheffield United – Millwall8 April 20250-1
Millwall – Sheffield United11 December 20240-1
Millwall – Sheffield United18 February 20233-2
Sheffield United – Millwall6 August 20222-0