TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 20Tuesday 8 December · 20:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Middlesbrough1st place
WHU 34%X 26%MID 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 97 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, West Ham 1.4.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.9
Over 2.570%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.95X26%3.78240%2.52
Double chance
1X60%1.66X266%1.511274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.570%1.44Under 2.530%3.28BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Middlesbrough1-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →