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Championship · Matchday 20Tuesday 8 December · 19:45 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Cardiff City17th place
WBA 55%X 25%CAR 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 111 rating points.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.81X25%3.97220%5.10
Double chance
1X80%1.24X245%2.231275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Cardiff City – West Bromwich Albion26 April 20250-0
West Bromwich Albion – Cardiff City26 October 20240-0
West Bromwich Albion – Cardiff City13 February 20242-0
Cardiff City – West Bromwich Albion28 November 20230-1
Cardiff City – West Bromwich Albion15 March 20231-1
West Bromwich Albion – Cardiff City17 August 20220-0