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Championship · Matchday 35Tuesday 2 March · 19:45 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
QPR9th place
BOL 27%X 26%QPR 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • QPR lead by 91 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.76X26%3.87248%2.10
Double chance
1X52%1.91X273%1.361274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.44BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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Head to head

QPR – Bolton Wanderers22 August 20260-0